Insight China: China’s Consumption Challenge: Rebalancing China’s Growth Go back »
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Time2012-08-29 | 16:00
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Venue:Westin Beijing Chaoyang
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Address:7 North Dongsanhuan Road, Chaoyang District, Beijing
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Fee:Members: 400 RMB |
Non Members: 500 RMB
Date: 29th August 2012
时间： 2012年8月29日
Venue: Westin Chaoyang Beijing
地点：金茂威斯汀大酒店
Price: Member: 400 RMB / Non-member: 500 RMB
票价：中国欧盟商会会员：人民币400元/非会员：人民币500元
Registration: bj_events@europeanchamber.com.cn
如需注册请发邮件至 bj_events@europeanchamber.com.cn
More than five years since Premier Wen Jiabao described the Chinese economy as increasingly unstable, unbalanced, uncoordinated and ultimately unsustainable. As China loses its demographic dividend and as the results of China’s 30 years of impressive growth are increasingly distributed in the wages of China’s workers, evidence of debt, bubbles and a sluggish global economic outlook have led to a debate whether a significant wave of reforms are urgently required to increase the role of consumption as China’s engine of growth.
温家宝总理曾指出中国的经济发展中存在着不平衡，不协调以及不可持续的问题。虽然近30 年中国经济飞速增长，但是随着人民薪水的增长以及中国人口红利的消失，中国经济逐渐受到了债务，泡沫，全球经济危机等因素的影响。由此现象引出了人们对于刺激消费的讨论。
The share of consumption as a percentage of GDP has decreased from 50% to below 35% based on official figures over the past 15 years, even though household consumption has been steadily increasing by more than 8% annually. However this share in GDP has been declining as GDP growth has averaged 10%.
据有效数据统计，虽然中国家庭消费年增长率保持在8%左右，但消费占GDP 比重仍在过去15 年内由50%下降至35%以下。然而GDP 年增长率保持在10%左右使得这一比重还在逐年下降。
Is China’s actual consumption as a share of GDP higher than official numbers suggest? What policy tools are available to rebalance China’s economy? Is it time for a new stimulus package, for easing monetary policies or for pushing for a consumption-driven approach? Should the government reduce subsidies given to business at the expense of households?
中国实际消费占GDP 比重是否与官方数据相符？如何运用政策调控中国经济？中国是否需要调整刺激 政策，应当选择放松货币政策或转变刺激消费？政府是否应当减少企业津贴，增加家庭津贴？
Leading economist Ms. Wang Tao, Mr. Ben Simpfendorfer and Ms. Chorching Goh will analyse the different alternatives available to meet China’s consumption challenge and its implications for China’s future economic growth.
著名经济学家Wang Tao女士, Ben Simpfendorfer先生以及Chorching Goh女士将与大家分享关于迎接中国消费挑战的新举措以及由此将对中国经济产生的深远影响。
Agenda:
会议议程::
16:00 – 16:30 – Registration/networking
16:00 – 16:30 注册
16:30 –16:35 – Welcome remarks by moderator
16:30 –16:35 主持人致欢迎辞
16:35 –17:20 – Presentations (15 minutes each speaker)
16:35 –17:20 嘉宾演讲（每位嘉宾15 分钟）
17:20 – 18:00 – Panel discussion/Q&A
17:20 – 18:00 小组研讨以及观众提问
18:00 – 18:30 – Networking drinks
18:00 – 18:30 招待酒会
Speakers
Dr. Tao Wang
Wang Tao is Head of China Economic Research at UBS Investment Bank and former senior economist at the International Monetary Fund. Graduated in International Economics at the Remin University with a PHD at the New York University, Tao appears regularly on Bloomberg, Business Week, Wall Street Journal, Reuters and China Daily commenting on China's economy.
Mr. Ben Simpfendorfer
Ben Simpfendorfer is Managing Director and Founder of Silk Road Associates, a strategy consultancy based in Hong Kong with offices in Beijing and Melbourne.
Ben has worked in Asia and the Middle East for the past 20-years. He was previously a chief China economist at RBS and senior China economist at JPMorgan based in Hong Kong. He is also author of The Rise of the New East (Palgrave: 2014), examining commercial opportunities and complexities in the Asia market, and The New Silk Road (Palgrave: 2009), exploring China’s commercial ties with the Middle East. Ben speaks Mandarin and Arabic. He also writes a regular column for FT.com’s beyondbrics and features on CNBC, Bloomberg, and CNN.
Ms. Chorching Goh
Chorching Goh女士，著名经济学家（中国，蒙古，韩国），世界银行东亚太平洋地区经济研究部
Chorching Goh, a Malaysian national, is the lead economist for China, Mongolia, and South Korea. Before moving to Beijing, Chorching was the lead economist for Ethiopia, Sudan and South Sudan, based in Addis Ababa. Prior to joining the Africa region, she worked on Russia. She came to the World Bank as a Young Professional in 1999. She was on the core team of the World Development Report 2009. She graduated from Yale University, summa cum laude, with simultaneous BA and MA degrees, and from Harvard University, a PhD in Economics.
Chorching Goh女士来自马来西亚，是研究中国、蒙古以及朝鲜经济的著名经济学家。来到北京之前，Chorching Goh女士曾在埃塞尔比亚、苏丹及杜丹南部担任经济研究工作。 此前，她曾在俄罗斯工作过。1999年，她作为一名年轻的专业学者加入世界银行。她是《2009年世界发展报告》的核心研究者之一。她在耶鲁大学获得学士和硕士学位，之后在哈佛大学获得了经济学博士学位。
Mr. Nick Edwards
爱德华兹先生，汤森路透，中国区首席财经记者