Date: 29th August 2012
时间: 2012年8月29日
Venue: Westin Chaoyang Beijing
地点:金茂威斯汀大酒店
Price: Member: 400 RMB / Non-member: 500 RMB
票价:中国欧盟商会会员:人民币400元/非会员:人民币500元
Registration: bj_events@europeanchamber.com.cn
如需注册请发邮件至 bj_events@europeanchamber.com.cn
More than five years since Premier Wen Jiabao described the Chinese economy as increasingly unstable, unbalanced, uncoordinated and ultimately unsustainable. As China loses its demographic dividend and as the results of China’s 30 years of impressive growth are increasingly distributed in the wages of China’s workers, evidence of debt, bubbles and a sluggish global economic outlook have led to a debate whether a significant wave of reforms are urgently required to increase the role of consumption as China’s engine of growth.
温家宝总理曾指出中国的经济发展中存在着不平衡,不协调以及不可持续的问题。虽然近30 年中国经济飞速增长,但是随着人民薪水的增长以及中国人口红利的消失,中国经济逐渐受到了债务,泡沫,全球经济危机等因素的影响。由此现象引出了人们对于刺激消费的讨论。
The share of consumption as a percentage of GDP has decreased from 50% to below 35% based on official figures over the past 15 years, even though household consumption has been steadily increasing by more than 8% annually. However this share in GDP has been declining as GDP growth has averaged 10%.
据有效数据统计,虽然中国家庭消费年增长率保持在8%左右,但消费占GDP 比重仍在过去15 年内由50%下降至35%以下。然而GDP 年增长率保持在10%左右使得这一比重还在逐年下降。
Is China’s actual consumption as a share of GDP higher than official numbers suggest? What policy tools are available to rebalance China’s economy? Is it time for a new stimulus package, for easing monetary policies or for pushing for a consumption-driven approach? Should the government reduce subsidies given to business at the expense of households?
中国实际消费占GDP 比重是否与官方数据相符?如何运用政策调控中国经济?中国是否需要调整刺激 政策,应当选择放松货币政策或转变刺激消费?政府是否应当减少企业津贴,增加家庭津贴?
Leading economist Ms. Wang Tao, Mr. Ben Simpfendorfer and Ms. Chorching Goh will analyse the different alternatives available to meet China’s consumption challenge and its implications for China’s future economic growth.
著名经济学家Wang Tao女士, Ben Simpfendorfer先生以及Chorching Goh女士将与大家分享关于迎接中国消费挑战的新举措以及由此将对中国经济产生的深远影响。
Agenda:
会议议程::
16:00 – 16:30 – Registration/networking
16:00 – 16:30 注册
16:30 –16:35 – Welcome remarks by moderator
16:30 –16:35 主持人致欢迎辞
16:35 –17:20 – Presentations (15 minutes each speaker)
16:35 –17:20 嘉宾演讲(每位嘉宾15 分钟)
17:20 – 18:00 – Panel discussion/Q&A
17:20 – 18:00 小组研讨以及观众提问
18:00 – 18:30 – Networking drinks
18:00 – 18:30 招待酒会